First measurable snow of season headed to parts of Kansas

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You had to know we just couldn’t get out of this cold snap without some snow and on Saturday, parts of the state could see their first measurable snow of the season.

Some energy from the Pacific Ocean will undercut a huge high pressure in Western Canada, then sneak east across the Southern Rockies and into the Central Plains on Saturday. After the main impulse slides quickly by, a second, reinforcing shot of cold air will move into the area Saturday night. That second impulse will bring a chance for light snow and flurries to the state overnight Saturday.

Lets break this set up down in terms of pros and cons:

Pros:

  • There will be some moisture out ahead of the storm, asĀ evidenced by the increase in mid and high level clouds ahead of the storm.
  • Cold air has been established for 5 days
  • Snow will be dominant precip type, though there maybe some sleet across far W KS late tonight.

Cons:

  • Dynamics are lacking
  • Surface moisture is lacking as well. Dewpoints in Kansas at 3pm Friday were in the upper single digits to mid teens
  • Precip will have to saturate the column before falling to surface, keeping snowfall totals in check.
Winter weather advisories are in effect for the counties in blue

Winter weather advisories are in effect for the counties in blue as of 315 pm FRI

Here is the probability of more than 1 inch of snow from the storm system through 6pm Saturday night:

Greatest chances are along and north of I-70 in Kansas

Greatest chances are along and north of I-70 in Kansas

Here are some predicted snow totals for cities across Kansas:

Wichita: T-1″ south of Wichita, 1-2″ north of Wichita

Salina: 2-3″

Topeka: 2-4″

Kansas City: 2-4″

Chanute: 1-2″

Garden City: 1-2″

Goodland: 1-3″

Here is our Winter Storm threat scale for this storm. The scale is from 0-10, with 0 representing low and 10 an extreme threat.

winter storm.pptx

Stay with ksstorm.info and we will keep you updated on this winter weather situation.