SPC predicts 15% probability for any severe weather
There is still quite a bit of disagreement in the models about timing and extent of any severe weather on Wednesday. The timing differences between the models are still about 8 hours.
In general terms, warm air aloft will serve to keep storms from firing until late in the day. Any storms would be along a dryline that’s expected to setup along the Kansas Turnpike.
I’ll work up our first briefing of the season tomorrow, focusing on this chance for severe weather. We may chase it, at least for a couple of hours, to try and work out any equipment issues before the season really gets underway.