Latest models swing the path of the low just a bit north and west of the previous tracks. That means Kansas will be spared even more of the impact of snow and ice, and this system will be a rainmaker for most of the state. However, there is a little bit of the state (north and west of Scott city or so) that could see enough snowfall that, combined with the wind on the backside of the system Thursday, could cause visibility issues for travelers.

Here’s the latest Situation Report from NWS Dodge City:


NOTE: The following graphics are experimental, meaning they are being used in evaluation for accuracy among other things. They are NOT official weather service products at this time.

I’m showing them to you for feedback as much as anything. The index that’s being tested this winter is something that’s hoped to provide those of us in the weather enterprise who need to communicate risks directly to the public with additional tools to make those risk communications.

The first two images are of potential impacts from the storm related to snowfall and the potential for blowing snow.

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This pair of images shows the potential impact from the storm related to ice accumulation.

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Here is the overall potential impact expected in our region form this system.

“This is all well and good,” you say, “but what does it MEAN?”

Bottom line: the top value in any of the charts is a “limited” impact. The official definition of limited impact is below, but the takeaway isĀ most people who see any impact at all will call it an inconvenience at worst.

Now it’s your turn:

Is this additional information useful to you in knowing what to plan for around mid-week? Please fill out the form below with your comments about the experimental NWS materials above. It’s anonymous, and I will pass appropriate comments on to the NWS after the system is past.