The models are lining up behind a fairly similar solution now. Except for the GFS -- Goofus as some of us like to call it from time to time. SPC even says it's throwing out the GFS this go-round in favor of the combined solution of the other models.
That said, it's a challenging forecast, even for the pros. They would have liked to have tightened down the risk area in a few places and perhaps added an area of enhanced risk...but there's just enough difference in timing and other factors to prevent it this time around. I suspect we might see an area of enhanced risk added in the SPC outlook later in the day...but I'd be equally expecting to see no change until the Day 1 outlook is issued tomorrow morning.
Bottom line is...I intend to chase Wednesday...and I have a pretty good idea where.