I-70 and US 183 corridors of most interest to me Tuesday

   1 minute to read

Risk Overview

Valid Starting Tuesday May 1, 2018 3:00 am
Expires Wednesday May 2, 2018 1:00 am

Primary Risk Hail

Other Risks Thunderstorms
Flash Flooding

Total Severe Weather Risk Enhanced
Potential Impact Medium
Forecaster Confidence Likely


There’s remarkable consistency between the models in treatment of the dryline and CAPE/Crossover evolutions. It looks like we’re on track for a number of storms Tuesday. The higher-end storms are more likely from I-70 north, where a strong tornado or two are possible, along with hail to hen-egg size.

The chances for storms along the dryline are more conditional – but those are the chances I usually play. I’ll be a little more in-tune as the time frame comes into the domain of the high-resolution, hourly update models Tuesday morning. But the NAM 4km, which is a convection-allowing model, shows a couple of isolated storms witin 40 miles of a Hays – Russell – Great Bend triangle by 4-5pm, with a line developing south along US-183 by 7pm. Interestingly, an isolated storm is shown at the triple point near Hays again around 10pm.



  1. Jasper Haskin April 30, 2018
  2. Jennifer Young April 30, 2018
  3. Tiffany Lynn Carmichael April 30, 2018
  4. Greg Alexander April 30, 2018
  5. Tyler Savage April 30, 2018
  6. ThuThao Lê April 30, 2018
    • Ly Le April 30, 2018
  7. Michael Sims Sr. April 30, 2018
    • Michael Sims Sr. April 30, 2018
  8. Scott Hamel April 30, 2018
    • David Waye April 30, 2018
    • KSStorm Info April 30, 2018
    • Scott Hamel April 30, 2018
  9. Victoria Draper May 1, 2018