Memorial Day Weekend Severe Weather and Flooding

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Risk Overview

Valid Starting Thursday May 23, 2019 12:00 am
Expires Sunday May 26, 2019 1:00 am

Primary Risk Thunderstorms

Other Risks Thunderstorms
Flash Flooding
River Flooding

Total Severe Weather Risk Enhanced
Potential Impact Medium
Forecaster Confidence Likely


The same upper level dynamics have been locked in place over the US for more than a week now. Each night and early morning the atmosphere simply reloads, daytime heating destabilizes the atmosphere, and severe storms producing all severe weather risks fire off yet again. It still isn't clear when this pattern is going to stop.

As this outlook is written Thursday morning, it appears Thursday may be the most impactful day in terms of severe weather, but the worst hail and tornadoes should be located just off the Texas caprock, from an Amarillo to Lubbock line east to the Oklahoma state line. Severe weather in Kansas today is anticipated to get going earlier in the day, and consist of widespread storms producing excessive rainfall, hail of 1-2 inches, and a few tornadoes.



  1. Preston Moeder May 23, 2019
  2. Carolee Salmans May 24, 2019