Could be a mess, could fizzle. If it goes, especially after sunset, it should go big

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Risk Overview

Valid Starting Wednesday May 2, 2018 12:00 am
Expires Thursday May 3, 2018 3:00 am

Primary Risk Tornado

Other Risks Thunderstorms
Flash Flooding

Total Severe Weather Risk Enhanced
Potential Impact Medium
Forecaster Confidence Possible


SPC has gone with a broad area of enhanced severe risk for Wednesday, also highlighting the possibility for significant (EF-2+) tornadoes and significant (2" or larger) hail. Most of the eastern 2/3 of Kansas is included.

The low pressure system that's to credit for the severe weather is forecast to come through a little slower than originally thought. That means winds at or near the same direction throughout the atmosphere much of the day, and several lines or clusters of storms possible. If a bunch of things come together right, we would see a higher risk for large hail and tornadoes around and after sunset. There will be any number of subtle, un-forecastable boundaries in the air mass, too, which may enhance things or get in the way.