Multiple Severe Weather Days in the Pipeline

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Risk Overview

Valid Starting Sunday May 14, 2017 12:00 am
Expires Friday May 19, 2017 12:00 am

Primary Risk Tornado

Other Risks Thunderstorms
Flash Flooding
River Flooding

Total Severe Weather Risk Enhanced
Potential Impact Medium
Forecaster Confidence Likely


Storm chances enter our forecast on Monday, and each day this week but Wednesday could see severe weather. I believe the risk profile for Tuesday is higher than in the previous briefing. Models have converged on an area from southwest Oklahoma into Central Kansas, along a sharpening dryline, with ample moisture and shear, followed shortly after sunset by a healthy low-level jet. Historically conditions such as these are tornado producers.