Rain the Bigger Focus Sunday than Severe

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Risk Overview

Valid Starting Saturday March 17, 2018 12:00 am
Expires Monday March 19, 2018 2:00 am

Primary Risk Thunderstorms

Other Risks Thunderstorms
Hail
Wind

Total Severe Weather Risk Marginal
Potential Impact Nuisance
Forecaster Confidence Possible

Summary

From a severe weather standpoint this forecast has a lot of challenges. Moisture return after the system that exited last night will not be super, with only a few locations forecast to have dew points above 50 degrees at any time tomorrow. When the dryline sets up, it's only for a few hours and it takes on a positive tilt (the southern end is east of the northern end). This tends to make our storm mode more elevated, or high-based. That limits threats to hail and wind -- and even at that, I think the wind threat comes as storms collapse, if at all.

Details

6 Comments

  1. Janice Marie Herndon March 17, 2018
  2. Dion Hoyt March 17, 2018
  3. Karen Graves March 17, 2018
  4. Stewart Haddad March 17, 2018
  5. Cheryl Johnson March 17, 2018
  6. Judy Thomas March 17, 2018
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