Thursday and Friday Storm Chances?

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Risk Overview

Valid Starting Saturday March 18, 2017 10:00 pm
Expires Thursday March 23, 2017 11:00 pm

Primary Risk Thunderstorms

Other Risks Thunderstorms
Flash Flooding

Total Severe Weather Risk
Potential Impact
Forecaster Confidence Possible


Models are nowhere close to one another yet for Thursday, while they're in fairly good agreement for Friday. GFS, for example. forms the low in central CO and has it in NW Kansas by 7pm Thursday. ECMWF (Euro) and CFS (Canadian Forecast Agency model) depict the low in a more usual southwest corner of Kansas location.

What I'm seeing in common is winds mostly coming from the south-southwest at all levels of the atmosphere. This would tend toward squall line development, or perhaps multi-cell clusters with storms training over the same few areas.